Pittsburgh Steelers Playoff Chances: Tracking Steelers Odds To Make The NFL Playoffs

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Fact Checked by Peter Mooney

The Steelers' road back to the playoffs in the 2025-26 season won't be easy. But Pittsburgh's roster has seen significant changes this offseason, most notably, the addition of WR DK Metcalf, but parted ways with George Pickens. Ahead of the season, veteran quarterback Mason Rudolph is projected to be the starting quarterback. Since we are still months out from the start of the season, we could see even more changes to the Steelers' lineup. 

As of now, Pittsburgh has a 40.8% chance of making the playoffs in 2025. So, how will the Steelers' playoff chances change throughout the season? I'll be tracking the Steelers' postseason betting markets all year long. 

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What are the Steelers Playoff Chances?

Here's a quick overview of the Steelers' playoff chances and other data points that relate to the team's postseason hopes. The implied probabilities below have been converted from odds found on DraftKings Sportsbook PA.

πŸ’ͺ Steelers Make Playoffs 40.8% chance (+145)
πŸ”₯ Steelers Win AFC North 15.4% chance (+550)
πŸ₯‡ Steelers Win AFC 5.3% chance (+1800)
πŸ† Steelers Win Super Bowl 2.4% chance (+4000)
πŸ”₯ Steelers Regular Season Wins O/U 8.5 (+110/-130)
βœ… Last Verified by Expert May 20, 2025
J.J. Watt celebrates

Do the Steelers Have a Chance to Make the Playoffs?

Yes, the Steelers have a chance to make the playoffs in 2025. The season has not yet started, and it will depend on the success of Pittsburgh's new roster. The Steelers have yet to name their starting quarterback, but it looks like Mason Rudolph will get the job. With the addition of DK Metcalf, Darius Slay, and Juan Thornhill, the Steelers are a contender to make the playoffs ahead of the season.

Are the Steelers Out of Playoffs?

No, the Steelers are not out of the playoffs as the 2025-26 season has not yet started. Pittsburgh clinched a Wild Card spot last season after finishing with a 10-7 record. Ahead of the season, Pittsburgh has a 63.6% chance of missing the playoffs based on -175 odds on DraftKings. 

Where Do the Pittsburgh Steelers Rank in the AFC North?

The Steelers finished second in the AFC North last season, making the playoffs as a wild-card team. According to BetMGM Sportsbook PA, the Steelers have the second-longest odds to win the division. The odds to win the 2025-26 AFC North are below:

Where Do the Pittsburgh Steelers Rank in the AFC Standings?

The Steelers' odds to win the AFC are +1800, the third-longest odds out of the AFC North. 

Can the Steelers Get the No. 1 Seed?

While Pittsburgh technically could land the No. 1 seed in the AFC, it is highly unlikely. The AFC consists of some of the best NFL teams, including the Kansas City Chiefs, Buffalo Bills, and Baltimore Ravens. Pittsburgh has a 3.5% chance to clinch the No. 1 seed based on +2800 odds at DraftKings.

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GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER, (800) 327-5050 or visit gamblinghelplinema.org (MA). Call 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Please Gamble Responsibly. 888-789-7777/visit cg.org (CT), or visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD). 21+ and present in most states. (18+ DC/KY/NH/WY). Void in ONT/OR/NH. Eligibility restrictions apply. On behalf of Boot Hill Casino & Resort (KS). 1 per new customer. $5+ first-time bet req. Max. $300 issued as non-withdrawable Bonus Bets if your bet wins. Bonus Bets expire in 7 days (168 hours). Stake removed from payout. : portsbook.draftkings.com/promos. Ends 6/22/25 at 11:59 PM ET. Sponsored by DK.

Pittsburgh Steelers Schedule and Betting Lines

The Steelers will travel to Dublin in Week 4 to take on the Minnesota Vikings.

Steelers Schedule Line Result
Week 1 at New York Jets PIT -2.5, ML -148 TBD
Week 2 vs. Seattle Seahawks PIT -1.5, ML -122 TBD
Week 3 at New England Patriots PIT +1.5, ML +102 TBD
Week 4 vs. Minnesota Vikings (Dublin) PIT +1.5, ML +100 TBD
Week 5 BYE - -
Week 6 vs. Cleveland Browns PIT -6.5, ML -278 TBD
Week 7 at Cincinnati Bengals PIT +4.5, ML +170 TBD
Week 8 vs. Green Bay Packers PIT -3.5, ML -175 TBD
Week 9 vs. Indianapolis Colts PIT -3.5, ML -175 TBD
Week 10 at Los Angeles Chargers PIT +4.5, ML +164 TBD
Week 11 vs. Cincinnati Bengals PIT +1.5, ML +102 TBD
Week 12 at Chicago Bears PIT +2.5, ML +114 TBD
Week 13 vs. Buffalo Bills PIT +4.5, ML +164 TBD
Week 14 at Baltimore Ravens PIT +8.5, ML +300 TBD
Week 15 vs. Miami Dolphins PIT -2.5, ML -130 TBD
Week 16 at Detroit Lions PIT +6, ML +195 TBD
Week 17 at Cleveland Browns PIT -2.5, ML -130 TBD
Week 18 vs. Baltimore Ravens PIT +4.5, ML +170 TBD

Steelers Playoff Picture: Key Updates May 2025

Stay up to date with the latest Steelers news and how it impacts their postseason chances:

  • πŸ“… May 12: The Steelers sign RB Trey Sermon.
  • πŸ“… May 8: Traded WR George Pickens and a sixth-round pick in the 2027 NFL Draft to the Dallas Cowboys for a third-round pick in the 2026 NFL Draft and a fifth-round pick in the 2027 NFL Draft.
  • πŸ“… May 1: Pittsburgh signs WR Robert Woods.
  • πŸ“… April 24: The Steelers draft DT Derrick Harmon with the 21st overall pick in the 2025 draft.
  • πŸ“… April 22: RB Jaylen Warren signs with the Steelers.
  • πŸ“… April 15: Pittsburgh re-signs OL Max Scharping and OL Calvin Anderson.
  • πŸ“… March 28: The Steelers re-sign LB Jeremiah Moon.
  • πŸ“… March 24: Pittsburgh claims G Lecitus Smith off waivers from New England.
  • πŸ“… March 20: The Steelers sign CB James Pierre to a one-year contract. 
  • πŸ“… March 19: DL Esezi Otomewo signs with Pittsburgh.
  • πŸ“… March 18: DE Isaiahh Loudermilk signs with the Steelers.
  • πŸ“… March 13: QB Mason Rudolph signs a two-year contract with Pittsburgh. 
  • πŸ“… March 13: The Steelers re-sign WR Scotty Miller and WR Ben Skowronek.
  • πŸ“… March 12: Pittsburgh signs WR D.K. Metcalf, CB Darius Slay, CB Malik Harrison, RB Kenneth Gainwell, and CB Brandin Echols.
  • πŸ“… February 21: Steelers sign veteran TE Donald Parham to a one-year contract.

I will continue to update this page throughout the season, so be sure to bookmark it and return to see all of the latest updates regarding the Pittsburgh Steelers' playoff chances.

Steelers Playoff Picture

With a new offense, the Steelers are hoping to make it back to the playoffs in 2025. We don't know who will be the starting quarterback for sure, but after acquiring Mason Rudolph in free agency, we assume he will be named QB1. Pittsburgh added versatility to its offense with the gs of RB Kenneth Gainwell and WR DK Metcalf. We expect these additions to bolster the offense, but it might not be enough to reach the playoffs. 

The defense is the backbone of the team, being one of the best units across the league with T.J. Watt and Joey Porter Jr. We expect Pittsburgh's defense to only get stronger in the season after adding depth through free agency and the draft.

Where Can I Bet on the Pittsburgh Steelers to Make the Playoffs?

Sports betting is legal in PA, and you can place bets at BetMGM, Caesars, FanDuel, DraftKings, and more. I recommend checking out the most recent Pennsylvania sportsbook promo codes before placing your first Steelers bet.

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Steelers Postseason Outlook and Predictions

Just making the playoffs isn't enough to keep Steeler Nation satisfied. Unfortunately, despite the success in the 2024-25 season, it's difficult to feel confident in the Steelers' prospects of winning the Super Bowl. Pittsburgh has yet to announce who they are going with for QB1. As of now, it is projected to be veteran quarterback Mason Rudolph, who Pittsburgh acquired in free agency. The Steelers added some offensive weapons this offseason with the gs of WR DK Metcalf and RB Kenneth Gainwell, but parted ways with WR George Pickens.

Pittsburgh worked on adding depth to its defense in free agency and the draft with the additions of Brandon Echols, Darius Slay, Juan Thornhill, and Derrick Harmon. The Steelers are expected to have a competitive squad, but will it be enough to reach the playoffs again?

Pittsburgh Steelers Playoffs FAQ

Author

Calli Varner

Calli has been an avid sports fan since she can . After earning her Bachelor’s degrees from the Walter Cronkite School of Journalism at Arizona State University, she combined her ion for journalism and sports. Calli has covered the NFL, NBA, MLB, NCAAF, college sports, and sports betting for several media outlets.

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